Wednesday, September 27, 2006

The stuff in the NIE Bush doesn't want you to hear.

The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) report is a collection of the view of all sixteen US intelligence agencies.

Bush is against any declassification of the NIE and describes his critics as "naive" for not understanding the war on terror.

From the BBC
"The leaked excerpts from the report were first published by the New York Times on Sunday.

Speaking to journalists on Tuesday, Mr Bush condemned the leak, calling his critics "naive".

Declassification would let people judge the document for themselves," he said."

This last statement pretty much sums it up. He's against declassifying the document so people could judge it for themselves. Americans need to be spoonfed propoganda, and anything that is too damaging to GWB must be silenced or spun in a different direction.

Ask yourself, why is it dangerous for people to judge the document for themselves? Could it be possible that it exposes his gross incompetence and threatens his grip on power? That the recurring theme discusses the dangers he has created in the world thanks to his catostrophic judgement.

Without ever reading the document, here is my hypotheses on some of the things it says and what they don't want you to hear.

George Bush had no credible intelligence to prove that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. He fabricated the information based on a previous rumour that had been disproved by Joseph William who had gathered foreign intelligence to the contrary in Nigeria. In response to the outcry by Joseph William downriding Bush's claim that Iraq had purchased enriched Uranium from Nigeria, the Republican administration fought back by leaking confidential National Security information and reveailing that William's wife, Valerie Plame, was a CIA agent.

Torture, as used by Iraqi police and informal militias, is now worse than at any point in time under Saddam Hussein.
The situation in Iraq is out of control and will not get better. All out civil war is inevitable unless drastic steps are taken.

Furthermore, Muslim resentment toward American foreign policy is at unprecedented levels and ensures chaos in Iraq that can possibly spread throughout the entire region.

It is more likely Iraq will fall into the hands of Islamists and break out into all out civil war than it is to become a functional and united democracy. If true democracy takes place, it is likely Iraqis will vote to break apart with mass migration similar to India and Pakistan during their separation following the deoccupation by the British. Such displacement will further fuel civil strife.

Iran, who posed more of a threat to the region than Iraq ever did, will continue to grow stronger. They have been emboldened by the Shia power vacuum the invasion has created and, through Hizbollah and Syria, threaten to spark a devastating regional war with possible nuclear repurcussions.

Terrorism, already spreading throughout the Muslim world's closest target, Europe, will grow worse. While Americans and Europeans will initially try to preach fairness and equality, growing Muslim resentment at Western foreign policy will act as a catylist for further terrorist attacks. This in turn will fuel hate crime throughout Europe, increasing the attractivenes of right-wing extremists parties such as Jean Marie Le Pen in France.

The Iraq war has diminished American respect throughout the world and in many ways, exhausted it in the Middle East. As a result, the United States has been sidelined in their ability to take a stance of intervention in places of humanitarian catastrophe such as Sudan. Islamist governments already in power use America's disastrous foreign policy decisions under George Bush as reason to block intervention. While Sudan continues to deny their genocidal war crimes in Darfur, they at the same time twist the world's call for intervention into their own rallying cry against any foreign crusade to occupy Arab land.

While staying the course in Iraq is essential for any chance of peace and democracy, these objectives remain impossible while George Bush is in power. For too many Muslims, he is the face of evil and fans the flames of their humiliating military inferiority. For the best chances of a successful Iraq campaign, a new and apologetic president not affiliated with the current regime needs to be implimented.

Further reccomendations to quell Islamic revolt and anger, and take the first steps to healing America's crumbling foreign affairs, would be to entertain preliminary charges against George Bush, Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney and other key administration and military figures through an international tribunal for war crimes. If the tribunal feels there is enough evidence to proceed, charges should be brought and trials should be held on the international stage.

* Please note: While I seriously doubt GWB or his associates will ever stand trial for their decisions, my thoughts are simply aimed to quell the damage his administration has done to America's image in the world.

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